Tropical Storm SEYMOUR Advisory Dom, 23-10

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202016
0900 UTC SUN OCT 23 2016

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 105W       34  7   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

15N 110W       34  X   6( 6)  63(69)   6(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
15N 110W       50  X   X( X)  28(28)   6(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
15N 110W       64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

20N 110W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  31(42)   1(43)   X(43)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 115W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  29(44)   1(45)   X(45)
15N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)
15N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   2(15)   X(15)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   2(18)
15N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  22(28)   4(32)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

$$
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