Tropical Storm LIDIA Advisory Qui, 31-08

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

TIJUANA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

IS GUADALUPE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   2(20)   1(21)
PUNTA EUGENIA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)  20(33)   X(33)   X(33)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 21  57(78)   7(85)   2(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  1  28(29)   8(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 18  60(78)   9(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X  23(23)  11(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LA PAZ         34  1  33(34)  34(68)  10(78)   2(80)   X(80)   X(80)
LA PAZ         50  X   2( 2)  16(18)   8(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LORETO         34  X   3( 3)  12(15)  33(48)  11(59)   X(59)   X(59)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   1(13)   X(13)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  14(21)   X(21)   1(22)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)  12(25)   X(25)   X(25)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  14(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   5( 5)  13(18)   8(26)   3(29)   X(29)   X(29)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CULIACAN       34  1   7( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  5   4( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

MAZATLAN       34  2   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SAN BLAS       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

P VALLARTA     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 110W       34 14   5(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

25N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   1(15)   X(15)

30N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA